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Tinker ☀️

AI is an unasked for tech looking for a problem to solve. It uses an incredible amount of energy.

Blockchain was an unasked for tech looking for a problem to solve. It uses an incredible amount of energy.

Pursuit of endless growth is pursuit of a cancer.

Moore's Law is dead and we have reached a happy plateau. We dont need more computing power. We can do so much now. If you need something to chew on, work on making it more efficient. Make the code smaller and faster and lighter.

And less of a power draw.

#AI #Blockchain #SolarPunk

159 comments
Remença

@tinker

A technology that when mature can make me not having to work anymore is "not asked for"? WTF

Sami Juvonen

@remenca @tinker Which technology is that? How does blockchain make you not having to work?

Sami Juvonen

@remenca @tinker I’m honestly curious. How do you think large language models, or AI, is going to bring about a future without work? What are the steps from here to automated luxury space communism? Or any other definition of a future where humans can just chill?

Do you own OpenAI? Say they do create a human level intelligence. What then? Why would they share the profit and productivity with you, if you’re just one of 8 billion nobodies?

What about doctors, nurses, plumbers, sanitation workers? Or is it only knowledge workers who “get to” be out of a job? What kind of political and economic system are you talking about?

@remenca @tinker I’m honestly curious. How do you think large language models, or AI, is going to bring about a future without work? What are the steps from here to automated luxury space communism? Or any other definition of a future where humans can just chill?

Do you own OpenAI? Say they do create a human level intelligence. What then? Why would they share the profit and productivity with you, if you’re just one of 8 billion nobodies?

Remença

@sjuvonen @tinker

Very good comment that serves as motivation for my main point, which expressed in polite terms would something like THE PROBLEM IS NOT AI THE PROBLEM IS F*CKING CAPITALISM. As you accurately describe, what incentive has Sam Altman to share his AI, there is it none. The solution is eliminating Sam Altman and all their ilk. In other words, getting rid of capitalism would solve all of this problems.

Remença

@sjuvonen @tinker

Oh, I see you have a good job and you are probably happy living in capitalism, I understand it now.

Remença

@tinker @sjuvonen

It is not an ad-hominem (or at least not entirely), I am just implying that he might be having a conflict of interests here.

Remença

@sjuvonen @tinker

Therefore I do not understand why you seem to criticize my answer of "what we need to do is to get rid of capitalists"

Sami Juvonen replied to Remença

@remenca @tinker You didn’t answer any of my questions with your “smash capitalism!” response.

Current AI tech is capitalism distilled, so I don’t understand how you think it is going to free you from toil, or capitalism.

DMTea replied to Sami

@sjuvonen @remenca @tinker nuclear power and nuclear medicine, which both save an incredible number of lives, are here because the tech started as a weapon of mass death.

Nobody wants mass death. But the science was good and matured into something very useful.

AI can do just that if it’s not strangled by capitalism along the way. Thats why it’s important to point to good applications while criticizing theft and energy use. We can do both.

Remença replied to DMTea

@DMTea @sjuvonen @tinker

I totally agree with you what means that I must have expressed myself horribly.

DMTea replied to Remença

@remenca @sjuvonen @tinker it’s okay- I wasn’t very patient with my reply, so sorry if I misunderstood. If you agree, then I have no problem with you or your post. I hope wherever you are, you have a good day :)

Remença replied to DMTea

@DMTea @sjuvonen @tinker

Don't apologize, it is not your fault, it is really my English :) I normally engage in debates in internet that are often beyond my level and from time to time it just happens that I do not explain myself correctly, but it is a good practice anyway.

Have a nice weekend. Greetings from Barcelona.

Remença replied to Sami

@sjuvonen @tinker

That is because it is in capitalist hands, which is my entire point. We only need to seize it, like any other means of production, and socialize it's benefits. For instance, if you are an artist and you work has been used for training an AI, you should perceive the proportional part of whatever it would have been paid to generate an image with that AI.

Remença replied to Remença

@sjuvonen @tinker

Finally, if we theorize on what would happening AI would reach parity with humans, we could just put AI to do all the work while we could spend our days doing whatever we enjoy, be it drawing or being at the bar.

Sami Juvonen replied to Remença

@remenca @tinker You would be OK with enslaving human level intelligences?

Remença replied to Sami

@sjuvonen @tinker

I would be ok with a AI that makes the work I do not want to do.

Sami Juvonen replied to Remença

@remenca @tinker You better be careful what you wish for. You wish to be made redundant by an AI.

When you dig down, there appear to be two kinds of AI boosters (who are not shareholders in a hot company).

One group wants slaves.

One group wants to build a god and become its priesthood.

The common thread is that both enforce and encode a strict hierarchy in society.

Mx Verda replied to Remença

@remenca @sjuvonen @tinker because that isn’t a plan, it’s an end-goal or ideal outcome.

Remença replied to Mx

@MxVerda @sjuvonen @tinker

It is a solution, which is what was asked. Another entire matter is how we get there, but even that I think that if we were only able to move to a less predatory capitalism like the one of the 60's if would be probably sufficient.

Mx Verda replied to Remença

@remenca @sjuvonen @tinker
“how do I improve my life?” “Escape poverty.”
“Uh, ok, how do I do that?” “Get more money.”

We remove the rich people, by moving to a less predatory capitalism. Alright.
How do we move to a less predatory capitalism? It might seem like I’m being pedantic, but people need clear, distinct tasks before they can track progress towards a goal.

I don’t need micromanaging bs about 2:43 pm next Thursday, but “big goal” from “chunks of that goal” from “portioned out segments of those chunks” go a long way towards engaging people with making it happen. Even destructive criticism is still helpful as it at least highlights a problem (badly) in how others will perceive it.

@remenca @sjuvonen @tinker
“how do I improve my life?” “Escape poverty.”
“Uh, ok, how do I do that?” “Get more money.”

We remove the rich people, by moving to a less predatory capitalism. Alright.
How do we move to a less predatory capitalism? It might seem like I’m being pedantic, but people need clear, distinct tasks before they can track progress towards a goal.

DMTea

@remenca @sjuvonen @tinker I guess since I exist in this system I didn’t ask for, and made the best of it, it means I can’t suggest that we use a better system? Or point out the incredible problems in this one?

Thanks I’m cured!

Remença

@DMTea @sjuvonen @tinker
I'm sorry mate, but English is not my first language and I'm afraid I expressed myself poorly. What I meant is that the reluctance of admitting my point expressed in his "oh, that's simple" is probably due to a conflict of interest with his current status. Anyway, he expressed that this is not the case, so that's it.

Donnodubus

@sjuvonen @remenca @tinker LLMs are conceptually incapable of delivering on their promises and the hopes people have been fooled to put in them.

They can't solve basic issues like "hallucinations" because they are just not designed to actually know or understand anything. They are a fundamentally useless parlor trick.

Remença

@donnodubus @sjuvonen @tinker

That's bullshit, LLMs of sufficient size paired with enough data are universal approximators, which mean that conceptually it is possible. The only catch is the cost and that we do not know if we have enough data. But conceptually I do not know why a machine should be unable to surpass any human in any intellectual task.

Remença

@donnodubus @sjuvonen @tinker

And they can and are currently solving the hallucination problem. As a matter of fact they have managed to get like 70% hallucinations on the benchmarks with the latest techniques, I can find the paper for you if you want to read it. How much of that improvement will be preserved in real life I dont know, but they are fixing the problem, unlike you state.

Tinker ☀️

@remenca - Oh, I'm all for automation, especially for mundane things.

But the current iteration of AI is "automate the art and poetry" while forcing people to do the drudgery, as opposed to "automate the drudgery" and allow people to create the art and poetry.

#ai #solarpunk

Remença

@tinker

I disagree. AI is not forcing anyone do the drudgery. It is our capitalist overlords.

Tinker ☀️

@remenca - I think we both agree.

AI as a neutral and generalized concept can absolutely be employed in many wonderful ways.

AI in the current sense - LLMs and similar - that steal from people and shit out trash and use a fuck ton of energy (and employed by our 'capitalist overlords' as you say) is bad.

I'm not referring to the concept of a neutral tool removed from the context of politics or use. I'm referring to the current iteration of AI specifically how it is being used in this moment within the context of its politics and economics.

@remenca - I think we both agree.

AI as a neutral and generalized concept can absolutely be employed in many wonderful ways.

AI in the current sense - LLMs and similar - that steal from people and shit out trash and use a fuck ton of energy (and employed by our 'capitalist overlords' as you say) is bad.

Remença

@tinker

Absolutely. Actually, I am very mad at how AI is being presented to society. Years ago I'd say I work in AI and it was like "wow, that's cool". Now people look at me like some kind of thief, worried that the things that my peer do will take over their jobs. It's just so fucked up. And all for Sam Altman to have a sightly better yatch. I

rateexportpilot

@tinker @remenca I don't know who I cribbed this from, but the best characterization of this I've heard is that AI is fine when it's used to help creative people do tedious tasks, not when it's helping tedious people do creative tasks.

Remença

@rateexportpilot @tinker

But again, this is not AI's fault, this caused because AI is employed according to capitalist greediness. But strangely, AI criticizists rarely mention capitalism. I do not understand it.

Tinker ☀️

@remenca @rateexportpilot - But tech is never removed from politics or its use.

So you can't meaningfully discuss tech removed from how that tech is used.

Criticisms of AI are specifically criticisms of how they're being used right now.

Remença

@tinker @rateexportpilot

Exactly, but the problem is that the ones that misuse AI are never mentioned. And that makes no sense, at least if you want to solve the problem.

Harsh Khemka

@tinker too many devices go to dustbin because of useless bloat.

Nicole Parsons

@tinker

AI does have a use case.

Automated disinformation for election interference.

Automated malign influence campaigns.

The investors in AI know why they are investing in AI.

Surveillance capitalism. Scams. Fascist movements.

oracle.com/ae/news/announcemen
aibusiness.com/verticals/saudi
The Saudis want to become the next Russian Internet Agency.

washingtonpost.com/politics/20
And Larry Ellison wants that too.
forbes.com/sites/mattdurot/202

@tinker

AI does have a use case.

Automated disinformation for election interference.

Automated malign influence campaigns.

The investors in AI know why they are investing in AI.

Surveillance capitalism. Scams. Fascist movements.

oracle.com/ae/news/announcemen
aibusiness.com/verticals/saudi
The Saudis want to become the next Russian Internet Agency.

Adam

@tinker

I made a point to add i386 support to the Signet client when I became the maintainer. I even have a computer old enough to test it! 😆

I agree that the AI chat bots and most blockchain projects use more energy than they are worth, but the problem is not limited to them.

Webpages are absolutely absurd to what they could be (and used to be in practice).

Desktop apps and operating systems... pretty much all modern tech unless it's making a specific point to be efficient.

Chris

@adam
Would you mind expanding on your webpage comment? Or have a link to something I could read that is related to that thought? :)
#writing

IEEE 1149.1

@tinker let people like me take your smaller, more energy efficient products and slap dry ice or ln2 on it, we thrive in TEMPORARY inefficient usage... None of us run insane overclocks on our daily drivers, often we undervolt shit... Companies need to stop shooting for daily overclock records on their products, its excessive and stupid... (Im looking at you rtx 4090, consuming 425w when you could get 5% less performance for 280w)

Mallory's Musings & Mischief

@tinker Something I think about often is that for most circumstances computing is a solved problem. Sure, there is always room for improvement, but in general, any new PC you buy today is basically good enough to do everything any typical person will ever need to do. The main reason for higher performance systems is because of inefficient and superfluous software (AI being a great example of both). Hardware improvements only have marginal benefits.

/1

Mallory's Musings & Mischief

@tinker It's a theme I see in so many domains. We have the tech right now to solve most of the material problems people have. It's good enough to make everyone's life so much better than it is, but because capitalism is always searching for growth, nothing is ever sufficient. If no improvements to a technology can be profitably made, the technology is turned into a service and rented, or systematically squeezed to extract every last drop of value that it can produce until nothing is left.

/3

Mallory's Musings & Mischief

@tinker Capitalism cannot handle the concept of a solved problem. It can never be satisfied. Everything good is eventually destroyed by its need for growth.

/end

Guillaume Rossolini

@malcircuit @tinker case in point, the latest smartphone models from all brands have had issues capturing the general public’s interest for years

SPAM :unverified:

@tinker appreciate your take, but I think there is a bit of difference between Blockchain and LLMs.

I think Blockchain is a solution looking for a problem while LLMs are a problem that can be applied to almost any solution.

There are valid uses for both, just not nearly on the scale advertised.

Cluster Fcku

@tinker smaller, faster, lighter will only happen if there is capitalistic cost for not doing so. As long as bigger & more serves capitalism better, there will be incentives for bigger & more.

Guillaume Rossolini

@tinker lukewarm take, making the code more efficient might make it bigger (more checks, more paths)

Bill Bernard

@tinker I agree with you, but here's the thing I can't figure out, and that is how to monetize the "improve the existing software" when selling snake oil offers quick profits.

Sincerely, if we could answer that question we might be able to change some behaviors.

Alex, just zis guy, you know?

@berniework @tinker

This is the whole long term vs short term thinking problem intrinsic to the fucked-uppedness of capitalism.

People would much rather get some hype, make some $, enshittify and die than make something sustainable.

Maggie Maybe

@tinker I thought the Blockchain was looking to solve the problem of illegal activities being trackable and prosecutable.

I thought money laundering was the point of the block chain.

And maybe a pyramid scheme or two, because some tech Bros didn’t have enough money?

The Turtle

@tinker nah, they always just crank up the system requirements for the workstation/tablet/phone/server.

"Sorry, this app require a 16Gb iPhone."

When I started fucking with computers fifty years ago, there wasn't 16Gb of memory in the ENTIRE WORLD.

Now there are shitty little games that use 886 megabytes just to get moving.

EndlessMason

@the_turtle
There are note pad apps that are whole multi-process ram slurping web browsers and how did all these kids get on my lawn
@tinker

Willow

@tinker Here are some problems to solve that don't require wasteful technologies: hunger, war, injustice.

Adlangx

@tinker but what will the product managers do?

Graham Spookyland🎃/Polynomial

@tinker I strongly believe that NFTs were a direct reaction to EU 5AMLD, which regulated the auction, sale, and transfer of physical artworks to a similar degree to other methods of wealth transfer. previously, art could be sold or transferred without record, allowing wealth to be hidden from scrutiny and money to be moved around without transparency. 5AMLD requires art transfers over a threshold value to be declared, just like with cash transfers, and NFTs were an attempt to sidestep this.

Graham Spookyland🎃/Polynomial

@chort @tinker the timeline matches up pretty much perfectly. I've tried poking some investigative reporters to dig into the early funding of NFT schemes to see if they can dig up ties to people known to be involved in the high-price art market (which has long profited from the loopholes) but never heard back.

Graham Spookyland🎃/Polynomial

@tinker I'm also convinced that the sudden explosion of interest in cryptocurrency was at least in part due to extremely wealthy individuals propping it up as a reaction to the tightening regulatory landscape on money laundering and undeclared wealth.

Que

@gsuberland @tinker and now we see artworks being commoditized like stocks to the retail market through speculative sites like masterworks (spelling?)

Raphael

@tinker you can’t just pick a random point in history and say: that’s it, we don’t need more.

If we listened to people saying this earlier we might not even have computing power at all. We’re incapable of stopping. Someone is always going to push on.

Aviva Gary

@tinker Yes and the thread is great but I think what you are really getting at is the motives for all this

It's one thing to improve stuff to say feed everyone on Earth... it is another to just make money for a shiny new toy for a CEO to play with 👀

Kenneth Freeman :linux: :tor:

@tinker
Couldn't agree more. The blockchain was useful for logistics and the supply chain, i.e. the back office; cryptocurrency, neither fish nor fowl, perhaps some edge uses.

"AI"/LLM is the currently shiny thing because hoi poloi can use natural language –and it confabulates wildly. Try translating English into Lojban on Vicuna and (in another round) back again. (It ~might~ be useful for testing the Whorfian hypothesis, I dunno.)

A startlingly visual example which I just stumbled on is the prompt "The Frenum" on openart.ai –strong disposition required.

In sum, get back to me when "ai" replaces automobile idiot lights.

@tinker
Couldn't agree more. The blockchain was useful for logistics and the supply chain, i.e. the back office; cryptocurrency, neither fish nor fowl, perhaps some edge uses.

"AI"/LLM is the currently shiny thing because hoi poloi can use natural language –and it confabulates wildly. Try translating English into Lojban on Vicuna and (in another round) back again. (It ~might~ be useful for testing the Whorfian hypothesis, I dunno.)

Nini

@tinker 2020 really changed some folk, made them terribly afraid of something... death, personal legacies, that wealth cannot protect them from nature. Whatever it is driving them, their little paranoias became our problem and now we have to deal with their brainworms as they try to speedrun the heat death of Earth.

We have reached a solid plateau in processing power, we can push further but we don't need to if we just make code lighter and processors more efficient.

aly

@tinker if blockchain is an "unasked for tech looking for a problem to solve" then why does the entire world use services that purport to solve the issues it solves? Banks, payment processors, social payment platforms, etc.

(Nevermind itt also absolutely does not necessarily use a lot of power--ethereum has been proof of stake for ages now! Get new lines!)

🇵🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺🇮🇪#NoMassMigrati

@tinker As a person who somewhat likes both tech but dislikes their current manifestations I totally agree

SpaceLifeForm

@tinker

Also, reducing code size also reduces attack surface.

See Microsoft. They know this.

Joe Beam

@tinker
I wonder if these LLMs will go the way of self driving cars. Truck loads of money thrown at it and the promises of no traffic and no traffics deaths never coming to fruition.
I wonder if the tech bros can overcome the all the shortcomings of AI to make actually useful. Doesn’t seem worth it.

RockManJoe

@tinker AI is contributing to a widening gap between rich and poor and global warming. I thought we were building machines to help all mankind and not just the 1%??? #genAI #climatechange #greed

Dragon-sided D

@tinker AI and blockchain both solve specific problems. When they are well designed and well implemented to the specific problems they are good at, they are *much* better than other alternatives.

They do NOT solve All The Problems.

They DO solve some of the problems.

Jeff Grigg

@tinker

I've been saying for about two decades now that the next phase "after Moore's Law" must be leveraging parallel processing. Like many threads, many processors, many "boxes."

These are hard problems, but important.

And I believe that we could do it.

But I fear that we are too lazy and shortsighted.

𝟜𝟚𝟘 :verified:

@tinker I only agree with the part of:

“work on making it more efficient. Make the code smaller and faster and lighter.”

Dana Fried

@tinker we have such incredible, rich things in our lives now; if we stopped pursuing endless profit we could all just enjoy it instead of half the world living in poverty while 1% burn it to the ground in pursuit of numbers that are already so large as to be meaningless.

Wesley D. Radcliffe

@tinker yeah. The quantum computing stuff gaining traction a few years ago was the most exciting thing to me. So much more compute for so much less power. I guess that hasn’t panned out yet?

Spycrab

@tinker linear algebra is nothing knew and it has plenty of use cases (just not chat-bots or making pictures [or fucking coding])

Idk enough about block chains to comment on it

Of your going to say that growth is cancerous then I guess humans are cancerous; You grow or you die. I personally see the general purpose of humanity being to expand and collect knowledge until we have a better 'purpose'

That being said, of course, we need balance. And you're right about working on optimizing computer systems (but we do that, like alot, that's how you get more computing power).
I'm with you on getting rid of these 'crypto bros' and LLMs that do fuck all. But the idea that we should stop innovating because Ai or we reached a "happy plateau" (whatever the fuck that means) is a really dogshit take.

I mean, we could have just said that when vacuum tubes started getting small or when Reed relays got invented... so on a so fourth.

@tinker linear algebra is nothing knew and it has plenty of use cases (just not chat-bots or making pictures [or fucking coding])

Idk enough about block chains to comment on it

Of your going to say that growth is cancerous then I guess humans are cancerous; You grow or you die. I personally see the general purpose of humanity being to expand and collect knowledge until we have a better 'purpose'

Bob Thomson

@tinker why i like the term end stage capitalism, un controlled cancerous growth that is literally killing its host biosphere.

A Random Half-Giant

@tinker
While you could make the power use argument with proof of work systems like Bitcoin, it doesn't necessarily apply to all blockchain designs. I staked my ADA to a node that's just a solar powered Raspberry Pi.

Kai Evans

@tinker if you make things go choo choo faster wouldn’t that immediately used to make more of the stuff that nobody asked for and that consumes way too much energy?

It would definitely help you to land a job in AI or crypto company though ;)

Mostly just pulling your leg

Jane

@tinker Isn't the idea though that it's a big up front cost so that it's cheaper over time? We've spent a lot of resources training some huge models but a lot of the newer tech is building off of those foundations e.g. with transfer learning. I think there are certainly a lot of concerns to be had over (mis-)applications of machine learning, but this feels kind of like saying "we can't build a new solar panel every day! it's much more efficient to just burn wood"

Dominic

@tinker so, how do we make a system that actually evolves towards efficiency?

What we have now certainly does not do that. Software definitely gets worse over time. It makes me ashamed to be a software developer, although I may aspire and work towards efficiency and simplicity, when I say "I am a software developer" I'm associating myself with all software development and that's mostly just making many tiny frustrations, dictating how things work rather than listening to anyone

Iron Bug
@tinker always told that people but they were too attracted to stupid hype and didn't see the reality.
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