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Émilio Gonzalez

@bagder Isn't that a similar line of thinking than saying: "Corporations don't actually need to make a profit" (as in: they can just break even)?

People hate paying for services more than they hate ads. If the ads are not profitable enough, websites go out of business, including stuff critical to our democracy like news sites. What is the solution if not ads that are good enough to actually give enough money to those sites?

48 comments
AMS

@res260 @bagder These days there isn't anyway to give money that is not more invasive tracking than ads you can block.

Émilio Gonzalez

@AMS @bagder do you mean your news sites don't have donation buttons, or that donation in itself tracks you too much?

AMS

@res260 @bagder That putting a CC, legal name, and address is incredibly invasive to link to what you read, much less comment.

daniel:// stenberg://

@res260 I don't think so. They want ads that work - but ads without tracking have been used already for well, at least a hundred years. We know they can work.

I'm not saying that backpedaling what has already been given away is an easy task.

I believe it is still worth pondering over.

Émilio Gonzalez

@bagder if you take TV or newspapers for examples of ads that worked without tracking, these are two examples of services where ads were not the only source of revenue. An online news site, it pretty much is these days, except donations, or its behind paywall :/

daniel:// stenberg://

@res260 are you suggesting those with paywalls would remove them if they could just do user-tracking ads? That sounds bizarre.

Émilio Gonzalez

@bagder I wouldnt presume, I don't know enough about the financial inner details of news outlets. But the fact that revenue fell drastically for news outlets in the last decades is, in my opinion, a much bigger problem than ads that track you (and I trust mozilla much more than google to do it while balancing privacy than google or meta) and it's a problem that can't be solely blamed on media themselves

ocdtrekkie

@res260 @bagder All the ad companies are the ones stripping journalism of money. Google and Facebook both scrape the important bits of the news, and host them on their own site with their own ads, instead of linking people to the sites themselves so the news outlets see the ad revenue. The issue is the ad companies becoming so greedy they are now focused on cutting out the content creators from the deal.

Don Marti

@jackyan @ocdtrekkie @res260 @bagder

The tracking is not there to identify the individual (the data doesn't have to be accurate) but to enable getting the highest-priced ad onto the cheapest possible site

Cross-context tracking puts higher value and lower value sites into competition to cut ad rates and drive up the % that goes to platforms—side effect is that much of the ad money ends up going to places that neither the advertiser nor the user would want to support

propublica.org/article/google-

@jackyan @ocdtrekkie @res260 @bagder

The tracking is not there to identify the individual (the data doesn't have to be accurate) but to enable getting the highest-priced ad onto the cheapest possible site

Cross-context tracking puts higher value and lower value sites into competition to cut ad rates and drive up the % that goes to platforms—side effect is that much of the ad money ends up going to places that neither the advertiser nor the user would want to support

Alexander The 1st

@ocdtrekkie @res260 @bagder I'm reminded of how the one change Apple made to how podcasts downloaded affected everyone's ad impressions [ youtu.be/DnktQrpXHrQ?si=BviNaj ].

Hank Green argues that it's good, even if it drastically hurts smaller podcasts, because it's more accurate ad impression numbers...but it means that smaller podcasts all of a sudden aren't meeting their "Ad view goals" immediately upon publishing.

Dan Veditz

@bagder @res260

That happens already! There are sites that I see regularly with a "turn off your ad blocker or subscribe" pay wall. Sometimes they just want you to log in to a free account (so they can track you, and sell that to data brokers correlated by email)

Aroop Roelofs :verified:

@bagder A popular Dutch news site has:
- A paywall for their "premium articles" (which constitutes most of their articles).
- Tracking as-is (CDN resources + Google analytics).
- Tracking ads.

@res260

Émilio Gonzalez

@bagder and even though newspapers made most of their money with ads, when the more performing ad systems came (ie tracking users), advertisers fled these services which caused media having such a hard time surviving online

Sheogorath 🦊

@res260 @bagder May I add that there are independent public media in the world exist and work well. However, when it came to written articles (at least in Germany) the ad-driven commercial media companies claimed unfair advantage and limited public media's ability to publish news stories in text format.

Émilio Gonzalez

@sheogorath @bagder Yes it's a common topic here in Canada as well with CBC/Radio-Canada being partly financed with ads and the other news outlets saying "well we're struggling and the public company is taking our ad money".

Nicol Wistreich

@res260 @bagder on free-TV, radio and podcasts, other than public-service broadcasters – ads without tracking are *the only* source of revenue.

You don't even get a precise number of views for the TV or radio ads, having to use sampling of a small subset of viewers/listeners. Yet they still generate approx $235bn & $23.1bn global annual revenues, respectively (sources: imarcgroup.com/television-adve & finance.yahoo.com/news/traditi)

@res260 @bagder on free-TV, radio and podcasts, other than public-service broadcasters – ads without tracking are *the only* source of revenue.

You don't even get a precise number of views for the TV or radio ads, having to use sampling of a small subset of viewers/listeners. Yet they still generate approx $235bn & $23.1bn global annual revenues, respectively (sources: imarcgroup.com/television-adve & finance.yahoo.com/news/traditi

Bee O'Problem

@res260 @bagder the first big nail in the coffin of local newspapers was Craigslist

Subscriptions were useful but it was classifieds that were the big moneymaker in newspapers. In other words, ads. Highly localized ads.

minnpost.com/business/2014/02/

Bradley

@bagder @res260 yes ads work when relevant to the content just fine. So much time/money/effort/privacy wasted on "personalized" ads.

Émilio Gonzalez

@bradley @bagder The point is not if they work or not, it's if they work as well as user-tracking ads, which many billion dollars into user-tracking ads from millions of people seem to indicate they don't. That, or it's one of the biggest scam in modern history.

News sites have been running ads that dont track users for decades on the internet, yet they pretty much all (those who are still here at least) transitionned to user-tracking ads

For many news outlets, this has not been enough to survive. But for some, it's what allows them to pay journalists

@bradley @bagder The point is not if they work or not, it's if they work as well as user-tracking ads, which many billion dollars into user-tracking ads from millions of people seem to indicate they don't. That, or it's one of the biggest scam in modern history.

News sites have been running ads that dont track users for decades on the internet, yet they pretty much all (those who are still here at least) transitionned to user-tracking ads

Bradley

@res260 @bagder I'm just an interested outsider but I may be in the one of the biggest scams camp. Remembering how Facebook convinced many news orgs to pivot to video, look at all these views. Turns out the made up the views and cost many news orgs a lot of money/staff.

Jack Yan (甄爵恩)

@res260 @bradley @bagder Contextual worked as well IMO, and the online ad business is a giant scam. Who does well online? The Financial Times. Why? You have to buy ads directly from them at a rate which was the norm in the late 1990s, and they donʼt use any of the dodgy ad companies that are all over the web who cut into their share of the money.
Bob Hoffman covers the scam in his books, e.g.:

amazon.com/ADSCAM-Advertising-

@res260 @bradley @bagder Contextual worked as well IMO, and the online ad business is a giant scam. Who does well online? The Financial Times. Why? You have to buy ads directly from them at a rate which was the norm in the late 1990s, and they donʼt use any of the dodgy ad companies that are all over the web who cut into their share of the money.
Bob Hoffman covers the scam in his books, e.g.:

Kg. Madee Ⅱ.

@res260 @bradley @bagder yeah, it's the latter. Facegle have a duopoly on the tracking ads market and are ripping their customers off pretty shamelessly. And that's on top of Facebook's efforts to capture their audience

Petherfile

@res260 @bradley @bagder I thought the point was, regardless of how well tracked ads work, browsers and users don't need to bend over for it. It is not on the consumer to provide companies with what they want. It is the other way around.

If all users didn't support tracking from their end by choice, advertisers are left with only non tracked ads regardless of their preference. Advertisers, in theory, would still spend the dollars on ads without tracking, if that's all they could get, because it will be better than no advertising.

I thought the point also was, it's not very nice to sneakily add something to a browser that tracks you and turn it on without giving users any notice. Something that users clearly often don't want. Double so when you have features added in the browser reasonably recently to specifically avoid tracking. Erosion of trust there.

Some companies seem to get narky when some users support tracking and some don't and said companies base charging and revenue models on invalid assumptions that all do support it. The real problem here, as I see it, is the invalid assumption and nothing else. All involved need to understand that the tracking isn't always avaliable and work that into their systems, not try and sneak more tracking in users back doors.

Yes, I am mixing two different sorts of tracking here. I think the bend over and back door things apply to them both.

@res260 @bradley @bagder I thought the point was, regardless of how well tracked ads work, browsers and users don't need to bend over for it. It is not on the consumer to provide companies with what they want. It is the other way around.

If all users didn't support tracking from their end by choice, advertisers are left with only non tracked ads regardless of their preference. Advertisers, in theory, would still spend the dollars on ads without tracking, if that's all they could get, because it will...

🔶Mark Nicoll 3.5%🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇬🇧🇪🇺🇺🇳

@bagder @res260 oh yes. Studies have shown tracking doesn't really improve the effectiveness of adds in terms of sales, half as much as it can amplify a negative opinion.
But it does generate a lot of data that can then be sold by google and other add hosting companies.

anlomedad

@duckwhistle @bagder @res260

That's the point of user tracking. Precisely.
The claim in #1 is incomplete or wrong because it implies ads were the sole use for tracking.

Collecting and selling the user profiles to political parties for analysis and micro-targeting for example. Also harmful for democracies.

Evan 🫠 🔜XOXO Fest 🦈❤️🚀

@res260 @bagder Personally I feel like a world where corporations don’t *need* to make a profit and just break even (while still paying all the workers livable wages) sounds great

Émilio Gonzalez

@evn @bagder I do too, but I see no path to achieve this in my lifetime, so I consider this a nice thought experiment because if I don't I feel I won't actually make things better

robin

@res260 @bagder

I believe purely context-based ads perform just as well while avoiding hundreds of the downstream negative consequences for society.

The fine-grained user tracking is mostly there so that the big platforms can *market* themselves as having some ad targeting superpower which there's actually scant evidence for.

These over-complex ad systems are actually worse for the advertiser because their complexity makes them opaque and unpredictable.

Émilio Gonzalez

@nottrobin @bagder So you think everybody who advertises on facebook and such are fooled by some scam by Big Ad? And that Cambridge Analytica had worthless data and that all the political parties are wrong thinking they gain an advantage microtargetting users for their political ad?

Imo the idea that "tracking users for ads works, actually" is much much more plausible.

robin

@res260 @bagder

I'm not aware of any persuasive evidence that Cambridge Analytica had much of a political impact. If you have some please send it my way.

I agree, microtargeting would be most useful in politics - much more than commerce. Of course political campaigns would want to use anything claiming to microtarget.

But my understanding there also is that the verifiable impact is minimal and the most standout campaigns rarely if ever cite Facebook as the differentiator.

ClickyMcTicker

@nottrobin @res260 @bagder
First link on a search engine:
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cambri
The section is titled Elections, and from there you can scroll the subsections by country.
There are dozens of references if you’d like to check sources.

robin

@ClickyMcTicker @res260 @bagder How stupid of me not to read the very first most obvious thing 🤦

</joke>

If you delve into those sources you'll notice they're all about the scandal, the invasion, the secrecy, the widespread spying on millions.

I've yet to find a source on that page that gives any evidence for political impact. I've also heard a fair amount of sceptical expert opinion on this.

Article titles like amp.theguardian.com/news/2018/ *imply* impact but don't actually show it.

@ClickyMcTicker @res260 @bagder How stupid of me not to read the very first most obvious thing 🤦

</joke>

If you delve into those sources you'll notice they're all about the scandal, the invasion, the secrecy, the widespread spying on millions.

I've yet to find a source on that page that gives any evidence for political impact. I've also heard a fair amount of sceptical expert opinion on this.

Jack Yan (甄爵恩)

@res260 @nottrobin @bagder It works on big social because of the data points, but for the rest of us trying to make a living through publishing with regular sites, I donʼt see tracked ads having some superior power to the old contextual ones. Most of the ad companies that contact me are full of opaque jargon and canʼt give me any reason to run with them.

robin

@jackyan @res260 @bagder I'm still not willing to take "it works on big social" as self-evident. And I've yet to see convincing evidence.

Jack Yan (甄爵恩)

@nottrobin @res260 @bagder Letʼs hope for all our sakes that it really is a giant con.

Luna Lactea

@res260 @bagder Simply charge more for ads. Lots of people are using this service! Lots of people are seeing these ads! This is premium ad space!

Émilio Gonzalez

@jackemled @bagder That would work if supply and demand wasnt a thing. If facebook or google could charge 50x what they currently charge they for sure would

Luna Lactea

@res260 @bagder augh I accidently exited & lost what I wrote

There will always be demand for ad space & the supply is never going to change. If ad placement companies like Google & Amazon really wanted to they could collaborate with other ad placement companies to raise prices, similar to how gasoline companies raise the price of gasoline. Someone is always going to buy that ad space no matter what because they want to advertise. If money is low they can cut pay to people that make way too much anyway. I'm sure the guy that sits in an office all day & comes up with horrible management decisions isn't worth $100,000 a year & that his pay can be reduced to maybe around $35,000 a year, enough to still live comfortably but not less enough to really matter to him. If I was that guy I would be a little sad at making less money but I wouldn't care too much since I would have enough saved for multiple lifetimes already & still be making enough that I don't have to spend it.

@res260 @bagder augh I accidently exited & lost what I wrote

There will always be demand for ad space & the supply is never going to change. If ad placement companies like Google & Amazon really wanted to they could collaborate with other ad placement companies to raise prices, similar to how gasoline companies raise the price of gasoline. Someone is always going to buy that ad space no matter what because they want to advertise. If money is low they can cut pay to people that make way too much anyway....

C.Suthorn :prn:

@res260 @bagder

Then why are the sites with the most ads the sites that are most dangerous to democrathy, and the sites with no ads are most important to democrathy?

Do sites that love ads hate democrathy on principle?
Do sites that love democrathy hate ads on principle?

Jack Yan (甄爵恩)

@res260 @bagder Ads are OK, but contextual ones worked fine, and publishers made more money from them. These tracked ones mainly enrich Google. The online ad ecosystem looks like a huge con to me, with intermediaries working to take their share of the loot. The group that loses out: publishers.

Daniël Franke 🏳️‍🌈

@res260 @bagder

news sites are being killed despite ads already... I don't think that's as good an example as you think it is.

nassau69

@res260 @bagder except that the drive to subscriptions and the denial of access to anyone who wants only ad supported is a pretty clear indication that individual sites can’t survive on ad revenue

It appears the only ones profiting from ads are those doing the serving - Google, Meta, Amazon

CodexNotFound

@res260 @bagder i think that non tracking ads could work better than tracked ads.

For tracked ads, two weeks after buying a fridge online I still see ads for fridges... That's not going to get then sales.

Serve ads based on the content of the page instead. Am I looking up a microwave give microwave ads on that page.

There is a reason there is more beer commercials on TV during soccer matches than during Planet Earth documentaries. Its what people are interested in at that time.

Bee O'Problem

@res260 @bagder

no

From a perspective of someone who might want to advertise I want to make sure actual potential customers view my stuff. The pitch for tracking is snake oil so Google et al can pretend they're delivering that without doing the actual work of properly generating leads. Or finding good ad venues

The person/company that's actually selling ad space is not the problem in this discussion. Google just makes selling ad space (much) easier than directly contacting brands would be.

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