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Ika Makimaki

We are now in the middle of "Oops"

Graph titled
Climate change
A timeline
About the first half of the timeline is light blue and is labeled "Climate change isn't real"
Just under the second half is orange and is labeled "OK Climate change is real, we're just not convinced it's caused by humans".
There's a short red segment labelled "Oops". 
The last very short segment is yellow and labeled "Fuck".
87 comments
Scott Matter

@pezmico

I reckon a lot of folks are a lot closer to “fuck”

Lord Doktor Krypt3ia

@pezmico I tend to think that assessment is optimistic. We are in the fuck part of the timeline.

FinalOverdrive

@pezmico Here's the thing: civilization might survive the fuck phase.

ÐДѷє ۷ǿȵ ຣ

@FinalOverdrive @pezmico humans will not disappear; there will be places that are still habitable. Humanity will get a blow though and civilization as we know it now will no longer be sustainable (not that it’s sustainable now, but we will also no longer be able to keep it alive in its current form)

aprilfollies

@dave_von_s @FinalOverdrive @pezmico I’ve been reading up on the Bronze Age collapse lately. For, y’know, reasons.

FinalOverdrive

@aprilfollies @dave_von_s @pezmico The scary thing is I don't think the collapse will be that dramatic.

aprilfollies

@FinalOverdrive @dave_von_s @pezmico The Bronze Age collapse wasn’t, either, as I understand it. Whole generations just… leaving no-longer-livable cities behind.

aprilfollies

@FinalOverdrive @dave_von_s @pezmico Then we’d better get good at urban food production on a pretty urgent timeline. Bonus, growing more plants will help cool cities down.

Miami is probably doomed, though.

FinalOverdrive

@aprilfollies @dave_von_s @pezmico Yes and no. We won't know until it happens. Urban food production is already starting.

aprilfollies

@FinalOverdrive @dave_von_s @pezmico Yes, I’m involved in developing urban gardens in my city. It doesn’t scale to feeding numbers in the hundreds of thousands at the moment. What we have now are pilot projects.

Basically we need to be doing All The Things to reduce the impact and prepare for it. The more we do now, the less bad we can make this inflection point in human history.

Frank Hightower

@FinalOverdrive @pezmico I miss already being able to THINK during the afternoon, though

Kitt / Basil 🌻 🔜 bewhiskered

@FinalOverdrive @pezmico probably, but a lot of innocent and vulnerable people who had no part in creating the disaster are going to die from it.

:konsti: :villain_heart: sony teenyDog LLC

@FinalOverdrive @pezmico i mean probably, but we could also help/have helped not getting to the point of dealing with that

Atz

@FinalOverdrive @pezmico

"I'm going to shoot *you* in the head. But don't worry! Other people will be fine!"

FinalOverdrive

@atzanteol @pezmico I never said it wasn't fucked up, but it does prove green politics was it's own worst enemy. It was unable and unwilling to contemplate a greater horror: that civilization at this stage could survive even climate change.

Epiphanic Synchronicity

@pezmico The XKCD cartoon about global warming is the most sobering I’ve ever seen: xkcd.com/1732/

Chadee the Dream Witch 🌕 🌊

@EpiphanicSynchronicity @pezmico Most people (Including me!) don't realize a + or - 4C change can be the difference between a mile of ice or an extra 10m of sea water rise.

Our little sphere is in such an amazingly delicate balance of barely habitable, and I hope it stays that way.

Caspr Harmar

@pezmico somedays I think we're getting into "Fuck"

Diane Hallinen

@pezmico I wish, in the USA, we could start talking about a national 55 mph speed limit. And shut down a few pipelines.

Diane Hallinen

@pezmico @brettowe I remember it. It saved a ton of gas. For all types of cars gas mileage is a lot better at 55 than 75. We don’t have any choice, we have waited way too long.

Thorwegian ❄️

@pezmico well, yes. but it's not working. humanity now feels guilty about it. but we keep acting like humans. in some respect, nature might want to step up and apologise here. where did we come from? we didn't create ourselves. you might call it nature's mistake. but mother nature never apologises.

:CApride: Suddenly a badger

@pezmico
In Nova Scotia, after Hurricane Fiona last year, and the wildfires and historic flooding this year, we're in "Fuck!"

Ika Makimaki

Lots of people saying they're already in Fuck.

While I'm not in any position to debate what's the most accurate measurement of your position in this Highly Accurate and Rigorously Scientific timeline, I do feel that "Fuck" really comes when the food supply dwindles, water gets scarce (Hello Uruguay), coastal cities need to be evacuated and in general, our attempts to keep normality going become untenable.

But yeah, not going to argue where you are on this.

Shrikant Joshi

@pezmico True. We are in orange right now.

Except, IMHO, the orange is a lot shorter than this graph indicates and blends seamlessly into red.

Basically, by the time people concede that climate change is real, we will all be collectively saying "Oops."

🥲

Gezza

@shrikant @pezmico
I vote fuck already.
We have water restrictions, soon to become droughts.
Food prices are rising already (for other reasons).
We had a heat wave in 2022 that killed thousands, and this year will be worse.
We have just figured out that AMOC is on the point of shutting down.

What you describe is the f*, f* and double fuck, just before we wipe out civilisation.

Shrikant Joshi

@gezza That was... surprisingly eloquent. Not joking. :)

I kinda agree with you, except the people in charge of 'declaring' the emergency have enough fat on their bones to last out the peasants who will, unfortunately be forced to broil first.

The "f*, f*, and double f*" stage will be declared only after the people in charge use up all their fat and begin to broil, sadly.

@pezmico

Shiide

@pezmico The current diversion is "we can't do anything about it now anyway". As the change is not binary, of course we can - even though we can't reverse the situation fully, what we do about decarbonization today still matters *a lot*.

Jan ☕🎼🎹☁️🏋️‍♂️

@pezmico you forgot the "it's too late, we can't do anything, so why try" phase.

gvs
I don't think anyone with half a brain ever denied the climate changes. That's a long way from we are sure it is warming (there's an unclaimed 100K euro price for whoever proves he can identify that trend mathematically) and humans cause that.
Then we are asked to believe these facts from people flying around the world on private jets who live in mansions who tell us we are the problem. Pass
Kofi Loves Efia

@pezmico I love this! At the same time until the curve starts getting bent down, we're still in the fuck around period. Find out period happens 50-100 years *after* net emissions start to decline. Unless clathrate gun. Then... Saddness

DELETED

@pezmico
We may even be at the beginning of "Fuck!".

EarthMomma

@pezmico

I think we are somewhere between the S of oops and the F of fuck.

But Im here to make sure everyone knows this is happening because it is the single thing that has made me feel like we have a chance.

In 2020, Dr. Ruan and his team unveiled their creation: a type of white paint that can act as a reflector, bouncing 95 percent of the sun's rays away from the Earth's surface, up through the atmosphere and into deep space.

nytimes.com/2023/07/12/climate.

@pezmico

I think we are somewhere between the S of oops and the F of fuck.

But Im here to make sure everyone knows this is happening because it is the single thing that has made me feel like we have a chance.

In 2020, Dr. Ruan and his team unveiled their creation: a type of white paint that can act as a reflector, bouncing 95 percent of the sun's rays away from the Earth's surface, up through the atmosphere and into deep space.

🦊 Paul Schoonhoven 🍉 🍋

@pezmico @fasol i thought we were just passing the 'oops'/'fuck' border in the south and still in the 'no worries' in the north.

Nazo

@pezmico I think a lot of people may have the idea they can wait until it gets to the far end there and then just "fix it" overnight -- like a sort of procrastination on a global scale. Except that's not how global warming works... It would take decades just to get back to reasonable levels if we instantly stopped all emissions (impossible!) stopped cutting forests, and replanted all the trees we cut before. As things stand it could be hundreds of years in a realistic scenario.

Gerry Gambino

@pezmico I think we're in "Fuck, too late" ...but I'm a pessimist.

Paul Schoe

It does not matter whether climate change is caused by humans or not.

The fact that many forest fires are caused by lightning strikes, does not mean that we stand by the side without trying to reduce/prevent the damage.

The 'OOPS' phase that you show, is enough reason to get into action. Caused by humans or not.

@pezmico

Curmudgeon

@pezmico I'm enjoying the new articles asking "Are Future Humans Our Problem?" when discussing climate change. 🤦🏼‍♂️

whitey
@pezmico Don't worry there are solutions brought to you by the geniuses who brought you Facebook, Twitter and Google +
Ecosaurian 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 :ir:

@pezmico

Yeah,
Global north is in Oops.
Global south is in Fuuuck.

I'm at Planet of the Apes "You maniacs! You blew it up! Damn you! God damn you all to hell!"

@mrbadger42

Chumchum Tumtum

@pezmico I've been in "fuck" for nearly the entirety of my life

Khosumi

@pezmico unfortunately way too many people are still stuck thinking climate change isn't real.

Nina Cried Power

@Khosumi @pezmico

"Stop asking [people] if they 'believe in' climate change and start asking if they understand it. It's science, not Santa Claus"
Valorie Clarke

Hash

@Nina_cried @Khosumi @pezmico
Only if recepient is interested in truth and not hype

erpablillo

@pezmico we positively are in the "fuck" stage. The north Atlantic current conveyor is about to collapse anyday now.

aprilfollies

@weaselx86 @pezmico And we have to fight this latest one more furiously than we have even the first two. To quote someone on the internet, “It’s never too late to make things less bad.”

Nicol Wistreich

@pezmico feels like society's been mostly in an 'OK climate change is real, but lets talk about something less depressing' era for a few years now.

Not sure how many of us yelling oops and fuck it takes to change that.

lord pthenq1

@pezmico
I think we are still in the orange zone.

When people start to die in the thousands, that will be the oops zone.

The last zone will be bad.

fluids_guru

@pezmico I think you’re right. However the “Fuck” camp is growing rapidly

Chickenforce

@pezmico
However, I know some "slower" people who are still in the second part. Oops and Fuck will then be more compressed for them. It will be more an "Oopsfuck" for them.

hrstl :verifiablebike:

@pezmico i'd say we're at the beginnig of "fuck" 🔥🔥😬🔥🔥

hrstl :verifiablebike:

@pezmico some important agricultural lands feeding millions are starting to become very unhospitable to human life already (india, pakistan)...

Blippy the Wonder Slug 🇩🇪🇨🇦🇺🇸

@pezmico
I believe we're on the border heading from "Oops" to "Fuck", and may have already crossed it.

As always, IMO and YMMV.

musicmatze :rust: :nixos:

@pezmico
I'd rather say we're at the very beginning of the orange bar.

Not that I agree, I just don't think most people do.

scribe ✒️

@pezmico Kind of feels like a similar chart but for #brexit here. "OK, Brexit is real, we're just not convinced it's a *totally* shit idea yet."

MaJ1 OLD

@scribe @DoubleTreble @pezmico I am, its a totally shit idea!
It was always a shit idea!
Doing it thru a pandemic was a beyond shit idea!

You might sense a theme here.

MaJ1 OLD

@scribe @DoubleTreble @pezmico Yeah, but a lot don’t realise we would be joining as a new country, and that it assumes the EU would even let us back in with our current policies.

Eric the Cerise

@pezmico

Deniers skip the "ooops" phase.

They go straight from "it's not our fault" to "nothing we can do to stop it, gotta learn to live with it" (aka, screw the poor people).

Raphael

@pezmico not many people in "Oops" yet from what I can tell.

DoubleTreble 🥰🌸🌍🌹🐱🧶🫖

@pezmico
Sorry but I reckon we've been at FUUUUCKKKK!
for quite a while now,

Peter Wood

@pezmico

I think people are more likely to shrug and say, "what do you want me to do about it?"

The people in the biggest position of influence are the corporate heads. They have their bunkers, hideaways, tickets to mars, whatever they need to insulate them from consequences.

Tallawk

@pezmico
Personally, I think we're in "Oops" right now, and "Fuck" will be when one of those enormous ice shelves collapses and falls into the ocean.
Or a major ocean current stops.

PFloyd 🇵🇸

@pezmico Nope, we're at 90%. We can’t stop it. 😞😔

Szilvia 🇦🇺📷📚🐕

@pezmico
People never learned that it works the same way as preventing diabetes. We might not have full control over our future health, but we still try to eat well in the hopes that's enough to prevent it. We also should have all tried our best to stop climate change. Maybe we only ever had partial control over it, I don't know... but it was never an acceptable excuse to not even try.

zem

@pezmico
Actually there are way too many people who are not convinced that it is caused by humans!
@Cryptomon

Tidings of Comfort & Jo

@pezmico
we are well into the middle of fuck, and as usual, most are behind only thinking we are in oops. because people are going oops now....while still doing fuck all.

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