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mhoye

So, funny story: remember how that Stanford professor described last years' layoffs as a "social contagion" exercise, where CEOs were just doing it because everyone else was doing it?

news.stanford.edu/2022/12/05/e

Well everyone get your surprised face ready but it was in fact a coordinated effort by execs, large shareholders and hedge funds to cover up mismanagement and suppress wages:

teamblind.com/post/How-we-got-

Did I say funny, I meant awful, typo sorry those keys are right next to each other.

76 comments
mhoye

In hindsight "Stanford business professor says these things just happen and nobody is to blame" should have been an obvious red flag.

Edit: I think this should be elevated to a general rule. Any economist or "professor of business" describing things in animal-behavior terms - instinct, herd, whatever - is prima-facie evidence a group of very rich people were up to some nefarious shit behind the scenes six months earlier.

Baldur Bjarnason

@mhoye I mean, what the Stanford professor said about lay-offs being a really bad idea that usually harms both the company and the laid off employees is still true

Everything he said about why it happened is bullshit, of course. Unless you mentally substitute "social contagion" with "greed-inspired idiocy" or something 🙂

(This is a recurring phenomenon in biz/economics studies. They can often demonstrate specific negative outcomes, but almost never positive outcomes or ultimate causes)

Baldur Bjarnason

@mhoye But that Blind post is really interesting and does seem to support what a lot of us were thinking at the time.

mhoye

@baldur I suppose that's true, but "layoffs are very bad and have awful human consequences" followed by "enh, y'know, sometimes these things just happen and they're nobody's fault", when they are in fact specifically the fault of some specific people for specific reasons is just giving those people intellectual and moral shelter and helping them escape accountability.

Jeff Abrahamson

@baldur @mhoye I wonder to what extent his conclusions about effects on health extend to Europe. The context in the U.S. is far more brutal. I'm sure it's not great for people here, either, but I'm reluctant to assume the same health consequences.

Schroedinger

@jeff_abrahamson @baldur @mhoye I think the impact is probably similar here in Europe. Especially if you are in a niche market - where there are only a few companies who can really use your skills.

Davida Taylor

@jeff_abrahamson @baldur @mhoye
Oh yes, it is happening here in Europe as well, At least here in Germany. Worse is watching the Auto Industry implode, taking out of tech workers and skilled workers too. Sad.

Geoff Berner

@baldur @mhoye if you think it's "idiocy" that their side carefully, secretly and effectively organized and coordinated their attacks on your side, that might be an insight into why you keep losing to their side.

Sylvain Drapeau

@Geoffberner @baldur @mhoye

You talk like it's a war waged on equal grounds by armies of like power and resolve...

What if someone was tipped off in advance of the layoffs. Then what? How do you "defend" against this attack?

Sylvain Drapeau

@mhoye @Geoffberner @baldur

Good point.

I don't know how it works in the USA, but in Canada, unions in tech jobs are mostly non-existent. Lots of work to be done before it's an effective protection.

tyil

@axnxcamr@mstdn.ca @mhoye@mastodon.social @Geoffberner@zeroes.ca @baldur@toot.cafe USA has practically no unions because that's a communist idea and Americans generally prefer to just suffer tremendously than use an idea created by The Enemy.

Aaron

@mhoye @axnxcamr @Geoffberner @baldur I would also take this opportunity to mention that unions are unnecessary if you work for a worker coop. It's like the union *is* the employer. It also reduces the wealth inequality problem, since the shareholders are the workers instead of wealthy rent-collectors. Imagine if our employers actually worked for us.

Aaron

@mhoye @axnxcamr @Geoffberner @baldur (But yes, if you can't work for a coop, unionization is the right choice.)

Geoff Berner

@axnxcamr @baldur @mhoye that's kind of my point. The problem here is that many employees believe their company's purpose is to solve tech problems, when the actual animating purpose of those in charge is to lord it over people like them. The tech solutions were always a means to that end. You can't resist something that you won't first acknowledge as reality.

Sylvain Drapeau

@Geoffberner @baldur @mhoye

I had misread your original point then, as we now are in total agreement!

McNeely

@baldur @mhoye I had always assumed "social contagion" was mean to be a semi polite euphemism for some of these guys decided it needed to happen for their wallets and then it became a reality bc everyone else could point to others doing it.

Kevin Granade

@baldur @mhoye the only way "social contagion" fits the narrative is in the upswing, "everyone is hiring so the predictions must be right".

Jan

@mhoye
@mhoye Gotta level with you man, Standford professor or not, so far nobody managed to convince me in the slightest that it was about anything other than pure unadulterated corporate greed.

DELETED

@mhoye
TBH pretty much anything is an indication that some uber rich people have been up to some nefarious shit

Jake Staines

@mhoye so what you're saying is that... incredibly rich people are animals?

Seiðr

@mhoye I am shocked, SHOCKED, there's gambling going on in here!

esmevane, sorry

@mhoye do you remember around the time the layoffs started, there was a letter going around from a London hedge fund basically urging a company (Google?) to do this in order to “correct the market” or something. I forget the exact wording

Camerondotca

@mhoye an economist was wrong? [surpisedPikachu.jpg]

Cass M :progress:

@mhoye anyone claiming social contagion, with a straight face, doesn't have a clue about how powerful people collude to remain power.

Stanley Nerdlinger

@mhoye
Early this year the CEO of Salesforce said he was being pressured by hedge funds to lay off employees

John Panzer

@mhoye doesn’t this describe illegal collusion to suppress wage growth? Something tech companies have been dinged for in the past…

Codex ☯️♈☮

@mhoye

This kind of shit is why tech workers desperately need to unionize across the industry! The CEOs are absolutely unioned against us already, we have the receipts and we have the suppressed wages too!

They're replacing senior devs with complex inside knowledge of their business by bootcamp grads for 1/4 of the pay, and the trend of it has enshittified the entire Internet to the point where the whole system is collapsing!

When will collectively put down our keyboards and demand better?

DELETED

@mhoye @talon Meanwhile, if someone were to suggest the US government is encouraging and assisting millions of people to annually cross the southern border to depress wages during a time of high inflation, they'd call you names and demand you be deplatformed for spreading conspiracy theories and daring to question the motives of our benevolent corporate masters.

mhoye

@bryansmart @talon

When people cross the border looking for work, maybe ask yourself: who's giving them that work?

It's not the government. When documented citizens who pay taxes get jobs, the government sees their cut; undocumented people, not so much.

Just something to think about. Maybe they've been telling you to hate the wrong people.

DELETED

@mhoye @talon They're getting work from the businesses that are donating to politicians to maintain their supply of undocumented cheap labor. Those businesses don't want to pay fair wages that citizens demand. Those businesses don't want legal immigration, nor do they want a closed border. They want people who are grateful for anything, and scared to complain. They also want anyone opposing their exploitation to be called names, so the exploitation can continue.

Duchamp Pérez

@talon @bryansmart @mhoye Those business people do want close borders. The harder it is to cross, the more power they have over the undocumented immigrants

Aviva Gary

@mhoye What?!?!?! No.... They would never...

*clutches pearls, looks for a fainting couch* 🙃

Evan Light

@mousey @mhoye @hugoestr Heaven forbid that the working schmuck have, you know, some dignity, self-respect, and quality of life. Evidently, these rich people believe that's just for them.

Duchamp Pérez

@mhoye @elight @mousey They are willing to lose money, pay money, to humiliate workers, people trying to live and raise families

spherulitic

@mhoye kind of also demonstrates that these were bullshit jobs to begin with. Does it matter if this work gets done? Nah, the real money is made when the ownership class goes to the market and puts everything on black

James Brooke

@mhoye What a shock! Corporate elites operating from short-term, narrow self interest. Sympathy is after all, a form of suicide to the typical CEO.

Schroedinger

@mhoye I would agree (I have been made redundant a few times - it sucks).

And when it becomes difficult, when times are testing, having loyal staff, who know that they will be protected by the company, is what will make the difference.

It convinces me more and more that those in charge of most of the larger companies are fundamentally incompetent at running a business.

Spatula

@mhoye

>

>

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Major wall st fund managers and stock holders started putting together a plan to put pressure on the wage and RSU growth. There were multiple leaks on Reddit (which is where I got the early wind of these planned industry wide layoffs) where hedge fund employees and staff were talking about dumping as high as 300-500K tech employees over year to put serious pressure on wage growth.

Is it just me, or does it seem like the coordinated laying off of people to manipulate the job market and people's wages should be a thing that isn't legal?

@mhoye

>

>

>

Major wall st fund managers and stock holders started putting together a plan to put pressure on the wage and RSU growth. There were multiple leaks on Reddit (which is where I got the early wind of these planned industry wide layoffs) where hedge fund employees and staff were talking about dumping as high as 300-500K tech employees over year to put serious pressure on wage growth.

TProphet

@mhoye I wouldn't be surprised if the guy who wrote this up was a low level AV tech, with better insight than the collective brainpower of some of the world's most successful tech executives.

Metafrastis

@mhoye Everyone but Apple, that is. Not enough mismanagement to cover up there?

mhoye

@dgavin Apple didn't over-commit themselves to a magical future of endless growth at the start of the pandemic.

Metafrastis

@khleedril @mhoye No, they didn‘t. But they also didn‘t grow unreasonably during the early COVID phase.

Bee O'Problem

@khleedril @mhoye @dgavin they seemed to turn up their noses at both blockchain and metaverse at least. Their take on AI is to leverage it to sell more iPhones as well instead of trying to make customer support worse.

So far Apple seems to be staying Apple, for better or worse.

Metafrastis

@beeoproblem @khleedril @mhoye Apple never uses technology for technology’s sake. If it doesn‘t serve a purpose for the user and improve an aspect of our digital lives, they wait. If it can‘t be implemented in a way that respects users privacy they wait.

PR ☮ ♥ ♬ 🧑‍💻

@mhoye “Major wall st fund managers and stock holders started putting together a plan to put pressure on the wage and RSU growth.”

TCI via Christopher Hohn. When I read this on FT in Nov. ‘22 at the time ChatGTP was released it to me, was the trigger point for mass layoffs.

#TCI Fund Management, the activist hedge fund helmed by U.K. billionaire #ChristopherHohn, touted a massive stake in #Google parent #Alphabet on Tuesday as he called on the company to cut costs by reducing its head count and paying workers less, becoming the latest high-profile investor slamming the formerly high-flying tech sector amid broader market weakness.”

<forbes.com/sites/jonathanponci>

@mhoye “Major wall st fund managers and stock holders started putting together a plan to put pressure on the wage and RSU growth.”

TCI via Christopher Hohn. When I read this on FT in Nov. ‘22 at the time ChatGTP was released it to me, was the trigger point for mass layoffs.

#TCI Fund Management, the activist hedge fund helmed by U.K. billionaire #ChristopherHohn, touted a massive stake in #Google parent #Alphabet on Tuesday as he called on the company to cut costs by reducing its head count and...

FR4NÇ01S 🖍️

@mhoye
How this isn’t outlawed yet???

Can’t a general attorney act on this, to preserve general interest, common good and public rights???

If you still needed a proof that that particular country is an undemocratic oligarchy, there you go…

mhoye

@furansowa The short answer is that it's not collusion if you're rich enough.

FR4NÇ01S 🖍️

@mhoye
So yes, the justice system does make differences.
That is the definition of partiality.
The rot is at its core then.

The notion isn’t difficult to get though.
La Fontaine, 17c., was already denouncing it : “Depending on whether you are powerful or miserable, court judgments will make you white or black.”

And +400 years later, the rich still can get away with such felony and perfidy…

@mhoye
So yes, the justice system does make differences.
That is the definition of partiality.
The rot is at its core then.

The notion isn’t difficult to get though.
La Fontaine, 17c., was already denouncing it : “Depending on whether you are powerful or miserable, court judgments will make you white or black.”

Holir_

@mhoye you mean to tell me having the same 100 people on a bunch of the boards with 2 major financial firms ( Black Rock Vanguard) connected the majority of our economy is bad for regular people?

Jordan (Damn Good Tech) 4hire

@mhoye I'm always surprised whenever people talk about layoffs and forget to mention the Great Recession we've been under for the past 16 years.

Companies are hurting so they resort to fake hiring in order to pretend that they're growing. This ends up leading to layoffs.

What we need to do is think outside the box to get us out of this economic recession. It's not going to take votes. Dems & Reps are blinding the American people. It's going to take bold decisions on business leaders' parts.

mhoye

Since this post is making the rounds again I want to re-up this part:

A Reptile Dysfunction :verified_dragon:

@mhoye wow its almost like tech workers should unionize or something.

Wendell Bell

@mhoye @aral FWIW, my experience in a VERY legacy industry is that, in plush times, some execs empire-build, think because they have 700 reports, they are Big Men or Women. Then, come more constrained times, call in McKinsey. ZIRP in the Valley does not seem materially different.

Paul Bone

@mhoye <It always has been astronaut meme>.

I feel like layoffs has never not been about poor management. I guess the new part is the coordinated part.

mhoye

@pbone I don’t think that’s new either.

johne

@mhoye think of the money companies could save if CEO's are replaced with AI.

bluestarultor

@mhoye I'm pretty sure any coordination over an industry counts as cartel behavior. Last I checked, that was hella illegal.

Edit: Which is to say I feel there should be grounds for repercussions here.

SaftyKuma

@bluestarultor @mhoye

The major companies involved (MS, Google, Amazon, Meta) should very obviously all be broken up. This was true WELL before the pandemic started.

Having this little real competition is very, very bad.

mhoye

@bluestarultor ... but you haven't checked. Not really. You've heard things and made assumptions about what the law means, but you haven't checked. You've just heard things and assumed things.

bluestarultor

@mhoye Oookay, let me rephrase that: this should be illegal even if it isn't, and if it is, I hope there are repercussions. Any such case should ideally be swift with at least one of them already under government investigation.

It's not my job to be a legal expert and so I'll leave the rest to them.

DougN :coffeev:​ 😷 :CApride:

@mhoye “When a few firms fire staff, others will probably follow suit. Most problematic, it’s a behavior that kills people: For example, research has shown that layoffs can increase the odds of suicide by two times or more.”

Eternal, Majesty

@mhoye my company's exec said this at yesterday's all-hands: "We made the company a little smaller last fall. We're beginning to grow again to fill that void."

For I am CJ :screwattack: :black_sparkling_heart: :screwattack:

if you (like me) weren't following this before now, blog post is a bit convoluted/ poorly articulated, but TL;DR:

"Those same at work forces" that forced people back into office (despite worker productivity & morale being at all time highs) so they could prop up the commercial real estate portfolios of the ultra wealthy...

Also engineered mass layoffs, to suppress wages & "get a jump on" firing people that they want to replace with AI

teamblind.com/post/How-we-got-

mastodon.social/@mhoye/1111710

if you (like me) weren't following this before now, blog post is a bit convoluted/ poorly articulated, but TL;DR:

"Those same at work forces" that forced people back into office (despite worker productivity & morale being at all time highs) so they could prop up the commercial real estate portfolios of the ultra wealthy...

For I am CJ :screwattack: :black_sparkling_heart: :screwattack:

To be clear.. (at a minimum) Microsoft, Google, Facebook, & Apple... fired people "well in advance" because they anticipate that AI will be able to replace workers 'in the future'... and they are currently lying about their actions by selling or otherwise promoting AI as "being an assistant to help people do their jobs better" a.k.a. publicly stating that 'AI won't replace people')

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