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7 posts total
david_chisnall

To put a billionaire in perspective, it's more interesting to think about the income than the capital. You can get a 5% annual return from some fairly low-risk investments (and you can further reduce risk by spreading your money across a load of these). You can often get higher, but 5% is a fairly good baseline.

If you start with $1bn and do nothing clever, you can get an income of $50 M per year by doing nothing. Even with the kind of 95% tax rate that we had for the highest income levels when The Beatles sang about it, that leaves you with $2.5M/year in income.

That's enough to buy a nice house every year, with no mortgage. It's a disposable income of almost $7K. It's enough to take a first-class transatlantic flight every day.

And that's just one billion.

Even with a 95% tax rate on investment income and a conservative investment strategy, someone with a billion dollars would have a daily disposable income that's more than the monthly income of anyone in the bottom 99% of earners, without having to work.

Now try these calculations again with real tax rates and Musk or Bezos' wealth.

To put a billionaire in perspective, it's more interesting to think about the income than the capital. You can get a 5% annual return from some fairly low-risk investments (and you can further reduce risk by spreading your money across a load of these). You can often get higher, but 5% is a fairly good baseline.

david_chisnall

GitHub: Large diffs are not rendered by default.

Thanks. When I review code changes, I typically want to exclude most of the changes from the things I review.

david_chisnall

There seems to be a very strong correlation between tasks that can be accomplished by generative AI and tasks that are necessary solely as a result of bad choices made earlier.

spv :verified:

@david_chisnall not entirely related, but i thought of this quote from house

House: "she's loading me up with pointless paperwork"
Cuddy: "well, you're way behind on you're pointless paperwork"

david_chisnall

I have #Rust, I don't need #CHERI! I have CHERI, I don't need Rust!

No, you need both, they solve different problems and Rust + CHERI solves problems that neither Rust nor CHERI solve alone.

cheriot.org/cheri/myths/2024/0

Edwin Török

@david_chisnall how quickly can you emulate CHERI on x86-64? (Does qemu support it for example?) If you compile your C code, or language bindings/runtime to a CHERI architecture could that act as a better valgrind/ASAN?
Probably not what you had in mind when designing the hardware, but might be a useful intermediate step until CHERI hardware is widely available.

david_chisnall

If cancel culture is so powerful, can we just cancel everything for the next 6-12 months and give everyone a bit of time to recover?

plat

@david_chisnall you can't cancel anything if nothing ever happens

Sonikku

@david_chisnall I would not mind if taxes were canceled- that would sit very well with me. And the governments around the world too.

david_chisnall

Someone recently suggested to me that AI systems bring the users' ability closer to the average. I was intrigued by this idea because it reflects my experience. I am, for example, terrible at any kind of visual art, but with something like Stable Diffusion I can produce things that are merely quite bad, whereas without it I can produce things that are absolutely terrible. Conversely, with GitHub Copilot I can write code with more bugs that's harder to read. Watching non-programmers use it and ChatGPT with Python, they can produce fairly mediocre code that mostly works.

I suppose it shouldn't surprise anyone that a machine that's trained to produce output from a statistical model built from a load of examples would tend towards the mean.

An unflattering interpretation of this would suggest that the people who are most excited by AI in any given field are the people with the least talent in that field.

Someone recently suggested to me that AI systems bring the users' ability closer to the average. I was intrigued by this idea because it reflects my experience. I am, for example, terrible at any kind of visual art, but with something like Stable Diffusion I can produce things that are merely quite bad, whereas without it I can produce things that are absolutely terrible. Conversely, with GitHub Copilot I can write code with more bugs that's harder to read. Watching non-programmers use it and ChatGPT...

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Impertinenzija

@david_chisnall I'm a supposedly decent German writer (or that's what ppl keep telling me) and I think ChatGPT output sucks.

Rich Felker

@david_chisnall Thus the management/C-suite being the most excited of all.

MylesRyden

@david_chisnall

I agree with this take on the AI Hype in that, pretty obviously what we have in general AI applications is a regression to the mean.

The real shame is that there are quite a few fields in science where machine learning is really extremely useful in finding patterns in data that might be too subtle for ordinary perception. The hype covers up (for people in the general public) this actual advance.

david_chisnall

It’s really not fair to blame CrowdStrike for the outages today. The blame lies with the people in a position to make procurement decisions, who saw a product that added a load of additional code that runs in Ring 0 and though ‘yes, this will make us more secure, I will mandate this must be deployed across the entire company’. A large part of the blame lies with the people who created auditing frameworks that would lead people to believe that this was necessary for compliance.

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