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Johannes Ernst

The initial #meta #threads user surge seems to be more or less stalling now at just over 100m accounts. Given how easy they made it for #instagram users to try out Threads, it also means many of those new users will have checked it out once or twice, but won’t use it on an ongoing basis.

What’s your guess how many of those new users will turn into recurring users? Wild guess: 20%. What do you think?

5 comments
Michael Stanclift

@J12t probably a fair estimate, and then the question is how many of them will interact with the rest of the Fedi.

Pedro

@J12t You heard that, Mark? Pack it up!

shreyan

@J12t i think even 20% is a little much - the userbase that is attracted to instagram is not really the same one that is attracted to twitter / microblogging. closer to 15% or even 10% would be my guess

jtb

@J12t It could be there are 100 million journalists who wanted to write an article about it. #threads #threadbare

Johannes Ernst

Because if they get in the neighborhood of 20m active users, at 10x of the existing fediverse, that's a bit different than if it were 50 or 100x.

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