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phillmv

@mcc but… why would you take the mugger seriously? this is all very silly, is it that easy to mug effective altruists??

27 Mar 2023 at 23:32 | Wall-to-wall | Open on hachyderm.io
4 comments
mcc

@phillmv right??! Within the context of the logical framework the problem is phrased in you could phrase your objection as "why are you assigning a non-zero probability to the idea they are telling the truth?" but someone who has no familiarity with the logical/probability tools would still be able to identify "this guy is lying" just using common sense

27 Mar 2023 at 23:43 | Open on mastodon.social
Dag Ågren ↙︎↙︎↙︎

@mcc @phillmv I mean, you don't even have to invoke the idea of telling the truth or not. At some finite cutoff, the probability of the payoff goes to a big fat zero, just because of physical possibility and living in a finite universe with laws.

28 Mar 2023 at 0:08 | Open on mastodon.social
mcc

@WAHa_06x36 @phillmv logically it is possible for someone (specifically, Joe Biden and/or Jerome Powell) to give you 10^100 dollars, but also logically following the consequences of a deterministic universe if Mr. Powell were to do that the value (purchasing power) of the dollar would instantly become effectively zero, so it would not be useful to you, and geeeez this stuff is just so obvious, how does one not immediately identify the problem is set up incorrectly

28 Mar 2023 at 0:14 | Open on mastodon.social
Jonas Wisser

@phillmv @mcc I feel like this question sort of implicitly explains an awful lot about the entire FTX situation.

28 Mar 2023 at 0:38 | Open on wandering.shop
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