Why might #Bluesky be worth a few billions? Decentralized social has the potential to "amazon" (here's a word you haven't heard in a while...) the trillion-dollar market cap social media platform market like Amazon "amazoned" Borders 25 years ago. In this thinking, it's completely early days and lack of biz model and current market shares don't matter.
Supporting evidence: Farcaster recently raised $150m at $1b valuation with far fewer users.
(cont'd)
Whichever the outcome, this outcome will have an impact on the Fediverse!
If #bluesky raises a ton, many other companies are going to get started and flood the space.
If they aren't very successful, the venture money will stay out of the space.
Which is something many people in the #Fediverse would prefer, I realize that. But whatever we all prefer, the impact will be felt.