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Prof. Sam Lawler

@firn They definitely can, and if we have 100,000 cubesats that will be bad. But right now this is not the main thing I'm worrying about!

And the 5 year lifetime thing is fine when you're talking about small masses - Reentry of Starlink satellites and Falcon rocket bodies is already exceeding natural influx of metals from meteorites. What will that do to the atmosphere? Only a few people are studying that now

6 comments
Michael Porter

@sundogplanets @firn …Not to mention the danger from 50 kg chunks of debris raining down on us…

Mike McCaffrey

@sundogplanets @firn To me, it seems the environmental cost of launching the satellites into orbit and the waste associated with all the booster rockets and such far outweigh whatever environmental impact of the satellites themselves burning up.

it takes a village

@mikemccaffrey @sundogplanets @firn depends what it's doing to the ozone layer. It could be very concerning indeed, theoretically much worse.

Prof. Sam Lawler

@djuuss @mikemccaffrey @firn Just a quick reminder: I am studying this, I actually know what the numbers are. The pollution from planned reentries is indeed worse than the pollution from launches. And it's already being measured: pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas

it takes a village

@sundogplanets @mikemccaffrey @firn so far i'm getting: there's a thin mist of metal in the upper atmosphere already that is precipitating slowly like a snowglobe. Lead wise, don't worry about it, because the US is still pumping out 700 tonnes of lead from chimneys a year (???!What?)

And you're expecting the metal clouds to descend on the poles with.. unknown effects.

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