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@drq Intelligence is “brain stuff”. Superintelligence is “a lot of brain stuff”.

Consider mice and humans. Both have a brain. Even their brain architectures aren’t vastly different. A blob of neurons with some identifiable areas, some of which are common between the two. Humans just have ~1000× the stuff. And humans go to the Moon, while mice go into mousetraps.

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Dr. Quadragon ❌

@trigrax Whales and elephants exist. They got lots of brain stuff. Much more than humans do.

They're not "superintelligent", whatever that means.

Вася replied to Dr. Quadragon ❌

@drq Good point. It may take some hitherto unknown architectural advances, not just scaling up. But looking at the advances of neural nets over the past decade, I don’t see how it can be dismissed. It might be science fiction, but you know, a lot of science fiction stuff from 1900s and even 1950s is mundane reality now.

Dr. Quadragon ❌ replied to Вася

@trigrax

> looking at the advances of neural nets over the past decade

As I said, too easily impressed.

Yeah, I mean it's nice/horrible depending on application and context, but it's not anywhere near either a rapture nor apocalypse.

Вася replied to Dr. Quadragon ❌

@drq

> it's not anywhere near either a rapture nor apocalypse

I’m not saying it is. I’m saying the rate of progress (20 years from a stuggling ZIP code recognizer to GPT-4o), combined with the history of other fields of technology, justifies the concern that if this carries on for another couple decades, we *might* get to that humans-vs.-mice level. We can’t be sure, but it looks just plausible enough to get worried or hyped up.

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