Исключительно интересный тред с аналитикой этой войны с позиции армий, тактики и нарративов. Почитайте.

RT @kamilkazani@twitter.com

Why Russia will lose this war?

Much of the "realist" discourse is about accepting Putin's victory, cuz it's *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is?

I'll argue that analysts 1) overrate Russian army 2) underrate Ukrainian one 3) misunderstand Russian strategy & political goals🧵

🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1497993363076915204