Looking for a prediction market for federal default in a few weeks, can't find any. Where have all the prediction markets gone?
Looking for a prediction market for federal default in a few weeks, can't find any. Where have all the prediction markets gone? 3 comments
@jimfenton I don't really want to buy anything, I just want to know what the people with the money think about the likelihood of default. @J12t The absence of a prediction market suggests that there is no disagreement on the predicted outcome: MAD guarantees that there wouldn't be a default? |
@J12t Who needs a prediction market when you can just buy foreign securities?