Gregory's Server
@ShadSterling Nobody knows because nobody has a good grasp of the second-order and higher-order effects, like additional methane being released.
And as we see in real time these days, the average temperature is less impactful anyway than the change in variation: heat and cold waves, drought and flood extremes etc.
@j12t it might need to account for multiple greenhouse gasses, but I don’t think we’d need to have predictions of emissions to have a model of equilibrium temperatures.
What I usually see is that higher contrasts are part of having a higher temperature, but I wonder if being further from equilibrium also adds to that