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Zach Weinersmith

Kinda mindblowing:

So the slowdown in productivity growth from 2007-2019 refers to a growth rate of about 1.5% a year. From 1945-1973 it was around 2.8%.

But like, 1.5% a year still means that in a single generation, an hour of work produces 45% more stuff! In 50 years it's more than double the stuff.

2.8% *is* much faster (double per generation) but still! By historical standards, 1.5% is zany fast.

9 comments
Zach Weinersmith

Put another way, if a person is born today, and the "slow" rate holds for 75 years, when they are 75, a single hour of labor is triple the output of when they were born.

Larry Garfield

@ZachWeinersmith My issue is what the heck "productivity" even means. "Do more faster" is not progress if the thing you're doing is bad.

Murilo Trigo

@ZachWeinersmith

And here we are working more, stressing more, less well fed, less housed, and less healthy as a society.

Future Sprog, XP

Productivity has rocketed ahead when we consider that’s an annual rate.

A few months ago I calculated what my (inflation adjusted) wage would be if I was paid the same rate for my work. Productivity has increased over the past two decades and I calculated my salary should now be in the region of $22,000,000

It’s not, unfortunately.

@ZachWeinersmith

Daniel Taylor

@ZachWeinersmith so assuming 2% growth for the period between:
a 40 hour work week in 1945 is equivalent to an 8 hour 15 minute work week today

And I think we're all aware where the difference in value has gone

(I think it was significantly faster, but that isn't material for this part)

Oblomov

@RandomDamage @ZachWeinersmith yeah what's mindblowing isn't the productivity rate, it's that workers' pay and hours haven't progressed proportionally.

Oblomov

@RandomDamage @ZachWeinersmith (which, incidentally, is the primary reason why it has slumped over time)

Virginicus

@ZachWeinersmith When robots take over all the jobs, productivity will be infinite. 😀

Daniel Schierbeck

@ZachWeinersmith I think the difference vs the past is that we live in an age where credit drives so much economic anxiety, and credit is basically assuming growth at a certain rate.

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