I think this is a good analysis.
There will be categories of software which gov doesn't want to kick-start.
The German gov, a influential power in the EU, would not want software that helps journalists and human rights groups hold Israel to account for its war crimes and genocide - for example.
Hungary, currently a member of the EU, may discourage investment in software that helps support or protect people from some monitory groups.
Italy - refugee safety, eg
@tizmic @fsfe @EUCommission
I also remember the intense lobbying of governments by Microsoft about 15 years ago over open document standards....