@ben reliability engineering is coping in the face of unknown errors, and your process is about coping with predicted risk
focusing on the accidents you know is missing out on the broader systematic process of managing risk
that's my point
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@ben the other, perhaps more salient point here, is that when you take the approach of going "ahahah! what if!" consistently in risk management you inevitably set up an atagonistic relationship with the people you're trying to help
it's alarm fatigue and everything you say sounds like "what if the sun collapses!"
there's always a point in which you throw your hands up and declare an act of god
or you end up with the ye old example of a reinforced door bolted to walls made of plasterboard