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Prof. Sam Lawler

@azonenberg This is real time data of close approaches: astriacss03.tacc.utexas.edu/ui

And yes, the odds are low, but with dozens happening per day, those low odds add up to high odds very quickly

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Anthony
@sundogplanets@mastodon.social @azonenberg@ioc.exchange Just a note of support here: back of the envelope says that ten "one in a thousand" chances a day means 98% chance after one year; two dozen one in a thousand chances a day becomes a near certainty after a year. You don't seem to have special knowledge of this topic Andrew but surely you can see the math suggests there's reason for alarm?
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