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mekka okereke :verified:'s posts Post Back to profile
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mekka okereke :verified:

This is like when people tried to pretend that Cambridge Analytica had a huge change in how people vote. Nonsense.

Black folk were the *most* targeted. How they vote didn't change.

Your granny was a Fox watcher before Cambridge Analytica.

Your granny voted for Trump again after Cambridge was gone

Everyone voted how they always vote. In 2016, 2020, and 2024.

What changes, is turnout.

2/N

8 November at 6:01 | Open on hachyderm.io
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mekka okereke :verified:

I had arguments on BlueSky and Mastodon, where Black folk and Arab/Muslim/Palestinian folk said, "I will never vote for Biden again." and people literally said, "They're wrong! They'll come around!"🤡

I'll never understand the confidence to tell people that they are wrong about their own intent to not vote.

3/N

8 November at 6:03 | Open on hachyderm.io
mekka okereke :verified:

I've shared the math so many times, and people are still confused about it.

Out of 100 Black men voters, ~80 vote Dem and ~20 vote GOP. This has been true for the past ~40 years.

If 20 of the Black Dem men say, "I'm never voting for Biden again!" Then:
* turnout drops by ~20%
* GOP share goes to ~25%

It looks like Trump is gaining and becoming more popular! But in reality, Biden is losing.

Switch Biden out for Harris, and you see things float back towards 80%.

politico.com/live-updates/2024

4/N

I've shared the math so many times, and people are still confused about it.

Out of 100 Black men voters, ~80 vote Dem and ~20 vote GOP. This has been true for the past ~40 years.

If 20 of the Black Dem men say, "I'm never voting for Biden again!" Then:
* turnout drops by ~20%
* GOP share goes to ~25%

8 November at 6:06 | Open on hachyderm.io
mekka okereke :verified:

No billionaire caused those Black men to say "I will never vote for Biden again."

Biden did that to himself.

Harris tried to win them back, and did a decent job! But she own-goaled in October chasing imaginary swing voters.

And fundamentally, she could never win all 20 back. Detroit yes. Dearborn no.

5/N

8 November at 6:07 | Open on hachyderm.io
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